{"id":572,"date":"2004-07-12T03:39:04","date_gmt":"2004-07-12T03:39:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/agnieszkabiskup.com\/?p=572"},"modified":"2011-05-01T18:32:43","modified_gmt":"2011-05-01T23:32:43","slug":"better-prediction-better-care","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agnieszkabiskup.com\/?p=572","title":{"rendered":"better prediction, better care"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Many people with Alzheimer&#8217;s disease don&#8217;t  receive the hospice services they need because these programs are  reserved for people with less than 6 months to live. A new prognostic  model could make it easier for these patients to get quality end-of-life  care.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Despite some small advances in treatment, Alzheimer&#8217;s disease remains a  terminal illness. As such, its victims would often benefit from the  professional end-of-life care that hospices offer. But to be eligible  for those services under Medicare, a person must have only a 6-month  life expectancy. Unfortunately, predicting the life span of someone with  advanced dementia has remained problematic. The arc of the disease is  not as clear-cut as in, for example, congestive heart failure, says  William Thies, vice president of medical and scientific affairs for the  Alzheimer&#8217;s Association in Chicago. This difficulty has hampered  Alzheimer&#8217;s sufferers from gaining access to the palliative care  hospices provide.<!--more--><\/span><\/p>\n<p>A study that appeared last month in the <em>Journal of the American Medical Association<\/em> could offer a solution to the problem. Geriatrician Susan Mitchell of  the Hebrew Rehabilitation Center for Aged in Boston and her colleagues  have developed a tool for predicting how long people with advanced  dementia will live. Mitchell&#8217;s model is based on 12 risk factors, such  as cancer, a need for oxygen therapy, and being older than 83. The more  factors the patients had, the greater their chance of dying within 6  months.<\/p>\n<p>Even with this new tool, figuring out when a patient is going to die  still remains &#8220;more of an art than a science,&#8221; says Stephen Connor, vice  president for research and development at the National Hospice and  Palliative Care Organization in Alexandria, Virginia. Nevertheless,  Mitchell&#8217;s approach, which relies on precise and easily obtainable data,  has proven more accurate in estimating 6-month mortality than current  guidelines for assessing hospice eligibility for dementia patients,  which are based more on expert opinion.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is important information for families, health care providers, and  policymakers,&#8221; says Evan Hadley, associate director of the National  Institute on Aging in Bethesda, Maryland, which cofunded the research.  &#8220;Being able to estimate how long someone with Alzheimer&#8217;s may live is  difficult emotionally and practically, but it is important to consider  it if we want to optimize care for these patients.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Mitchell&#8217;s study also stands to benefit family members &#8212; by giving them  access to the support and counseling services hospices offer, says Naomi  Naierman, president and CEO of the American Hospice Foundation in  Washington, D.C. And knowing when someone is likely to die allows for  end-of-life planning, in which all involved can prepare emotionally,  spiritually, and financially. The information could also help physicians  better treat those patients, allowing them to concentrate on providing  palliative care to ensure comfort rather than pursuing aggressive  treatment.<\/p>\n<p>Connor hopes to work with Mitchell to develop new guidelines that could  be presented to Medicare that would result &#8220;in more and more-appropriate  access to hospice care for people with Alzheimer&#8217;s.&#8221; As for Mitchell,  she says she doesn&#8217;t think that the 6-month life span should be used to  determine who receives hospice care in the first place: &#8220;Palliative care  should be available to all patients with advanced dementia who want it,  regardless of their life expectancy.&#8221; Until improved treatments for  Alzheimer&#8217;s disease are developed, making more sufferers comfortable  might be a huge innovation in itself.<\/p>\n<h6><em>This article appeared in the the &#8220;Latest News and Views&#8221; section of Sage Crossroads&#8217; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sagecrossroads.net\/\">online forum<\/a> on July 12, 2004.<\/em><\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Many people with Alzheimer&#8217;s disease don&#8217;t receive the hospice services they need because these programs are reserved for people with less than 6 months to live. 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